Author: Stephen DeCanio

Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Vol. 118, No. 15 (2021).  https://www.pnas.org/content/118/15/e2022886118.

Co-authors:  Charles F. Manski, Alan H. Sanstad, and Stephen J. DeCanio

Abstract

Numerical simulations of the global climate system provide inputs to integrated assessment modeling for estimating the impacts of greenhouse gas mitigation and other policies to address global climate change. While essential tools for this purpose, computational climate models are subject to...

https://doi.org/10.1007/s00146-018-0851-7

Abstract

Can an Artificial Intelligence make distinctions among major works of politics, philosophy, and fiction without human assistance?  In this paper, Latent Semantic Analysis (LSA) is used to find patterns in a relatively small sample of notable works archived by Project Gutenberg.  It is shown that an LSA-equipped AI can distinguish quite sharply between fiction and non-fiction works, and can detect some differences between political philosophy...

Abstract
The effect of the spread of Artificial Intelligence (AI) on wages depends on both the form of aggregate production relationships and the elasticity of substitution between human and robotic labor. With a conventional production function involving labor, robots, and ordinary capital, an increase in robotic labor can have either a positive or a negative effect on wages. Alternatively, it is possible to estimate the aggregate production relationship without measuring...